Slim, the world's richest man according to Forbes, is coming back from a rough year in 2011, when America Movil faced tougher scrutiny from regulators - an order to lower fees helped push down annual profits by nearly 10 percent - and clashed with two powerful rivals, broadcasters Televisa and TV Azteca, as they fought for a slice of the phone market.
But analysts will take a closer look at the impact that lower interconnection fees will have on profit margins at its Mexican unit, which dominates about 70 percent of the cell phone market, with Spain's Telefonica a distant contender.
"Higher subscriber acquisition costs in both Mexico and Brazil, in conjunction with the significant adjustment in Mexico's mobile termination rates, should bring down the company's consolidated earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) margin," said Actinver analyst Martin Lara.
Regulators forced Slim last year to slash fees that his telecom company charged rivals in Mexico.
They also slapped America Movil's Telcel with a record $1 billion fine, although the sanction may never happen as a series of legal maneuvers from Slim's camp could end up reducing the fine to a slap on a wrist.
Competition regulators will meet again on Monday, a full year after the fine was originally ruled, to vote on whether the Slim company should be fined.
Following is a table with the expected results. All figures in pesos:
JAN-MARCH 2012 JAN-MARCH 2011 PERCENTAGE CHANGE REVENUE 185.989 bln 156.232 bln + 19.0 pct EBITDA 66.760 bln 62.104 bln + 7.5 pct EBITDA MARGIN 35.9 39.8 - 390 basis points NET PROFIT 27.768 bln 23.511 bln + 18.1 pct
(Reporting By Tomas Sarmiento and Cyntia Barrera Diaz; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)
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